By the High Worth Citizen Editorial Team
The price of a Mediterranean tax home just changed. From 2026, Italy’s flat-tax regime for new residents rises to €300,000 a year — triple the figure of barely two years ago — while Greece has held its competing flat tax at €100,000. With Henley & Partners forecasting a record 165,000 millionaires relocating across borders in 2026, the gap between these two regimes has become one of the most consequential decisions in European wealth migration. For HNWIs weighing where to anchor their tax residency, the headline cost is only the beginning of the calculation.
Key Takeaways
- Italy’s regime forfettario per neo-residenti rose to €300,000 per year in 2026, with €50,000 per additional family member, for up to 15 years.
- Greece’s non-dom flat tax remains €100,000 per year, plus €20,000 per family member, and requires a €500,000 investment in the Greek economy.
- Both regimes cover foreign-sourced income for 15 years and require recent non-residence to qualify.
- Henley & Partners projects 165,000 millionaires migrating in 2026, with Italy and Greece both among Europe’s top destinations.
- The right choice depends on income scale, family size, lifestyle and long-term estate planning — not price alone.
Italy: Premium Pricing for a Premium Ecosystem
Italy’s regime for new residents operates as a substitute tax (imposta sostitutiva) that replaces ordinary income tax, wealth taxes and inheritance and gift taxes on foreign-sourced income and assets. The Budget Law lifted the lump sum to €300,000 a year from 2026, after raising it from €100,000 to €200,000 in 2024, and doubled the per-family-member levy to €50,000. The trade-off is stability and lifestyle: the regime runs for up to 15 consecutive years — among the longest in Europe — and grants access to Italy’s residential markets, infrastructure and Schengen mobility. For an individual with €10 million or more in annual offshore income, a fixed €300,000 charge can still represent an effective rate in the low single digits.
Greece: The Value Challenger
Greece has deliberately declined to follow Italy upward. Its non-dom regime taxes all foreign-sourced income at a flat €100,000 a year for up to 15 years, with additional family members covered for just €20,000 each. The principal condition is a €500,000 investment in the Greek economy — in real estate, businesses, bonds or securities — completed within three years, plus a requirement that the applicant was not a Greek tax resident for seven of the preceding eight years. Greece topped the 2026 Global Residence Program Index, and its combination of a lower entry cost, an investment that can itself appreciate, and a frozen annual charge has made it the value option for internationally mobile families.
What This Means for HNWIs
The decision turns on income scale and family structure. For an UHNWI generating tens of millions in foreign income, Italy’s €300,000 ceiling may remain the cheaper effective rate while delivering a deeper luxury and business ecosystem. For HNWIs with offshore income in the low-to-mid single-digit millions — or larger families — Greece’s €100,000 base and €20,000 dependant charge will usually win on pure economics, with the added benefit that the qualifying €500,000 can be deployed into appreciating assets. Either way, the flat tax should be modelled alongside exit-tax exposure in the country being left, treaty networks, and the eventual succession plan. Those weighing the broader investment-residency angle should review our analysis of the complete Greece Golden Visa 2026 residency guide.
Country Comparison
On headline cost, Greece wins decisively: €100,000 versus €300,000, and €20,000 versus €50,000 per dependant. On certainty, the two are comparable, both offering a 15-year horizon — though Italy’s recent tripling of its levy is itself a cautionary signal about regime stability. On entry friction, Greece imposes a €500,000 investment hurdle that Italy does not, but that capital is recoverable and potentially income-generating. On ecosystem, Italy offers a larger luxury-property market, more extensive private banking and a broader corporate base. In short, Greece optimises for cost and capital efficiency; Italy optimises for scale and prestige.
Risks and Considerations
Flat-tax regimes are political instruments and can change with a single budget — Italy’s tripling in two years is the clearest warning. Qualification rules around prior non-residence are strict and unforgiving of errors, and tax residency is tested on substance, not paperwork, so genuine relocation is essential. Greece’s investment requirement carries market and liquidity risk, and neither regime shelters domestic-source income. Currency, estate-tax interaction and the home country’s exit charges can all erode the apparent savings. Professional, jurisdiction-specific advice is non-negotiable.
The Bottom Line
Italy and Greece now sit at opposite ends of the same strategy: Greece competes on price and capital efficiency, Italy on ecosystem and prestige. For most HNWIs in 2026, the answer is dictated less by the brochure and more by the size of their offshore income and the shape of their family.
This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute legal, tax, financial, or migration advice. HNWIs and family offices should consult qualified professionals in the relevant jurisdiction before making decisions based on the information presented.







